Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 11, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 0
Hellas Verona

Immobile (68'), Alberto (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 4-2 Feyenoord
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Juventus	5	5	9
9	Lazio	5	2	8
10	Salernitana	5	3	6

Hellas Verona

Last Six:

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Sampdoria
Sunday, September 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Sassuolo	5	-2	6
13	Hellas Verona	5	-3	5
14	Spezia	6	-5	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Hellas Verona
57.24% ( 0.3)	22.34% ( -0.04)	20.42% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 54.52% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.68% (

-0.15)

44.32% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3% (

-0.15)

66.7% (

0.14)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.75% (

0.05)

15.24% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.08% (

0.09)

43.92% (

-0.09)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.33% (

-0.34)

35.67% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.56% (

-0.35)

72.44% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Lazio 57.24%

Hellas Verona 20.42%

Draw 22.33%

Lazio	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.24%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.33%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.42%