/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Mattia Zaccagni
4'
-
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
67'
-
Felipe Anderson
70'
-
Danilo Cataldi
70'
-
Maurizio Sarri
90'
-
Adam Marusic
90'+4'
-
Kim Min-jae
38'
-
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
61'
-
Luciano Spalletti
81'
Lazio vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F34%2Fmaurizio-sarri.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Lazio
27.75%
▲
(+0.31)
Draw
25.74%
▲
(+0.61)
Napoli
46.51%
▼
(-0.91)
Both Teams to Score:
51.87%
▼
(-1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.23%
▼
(-2.28)
Under 2.5
51.77%
▲
(+2.28)
Over 3.5
26.46%
▼
(-2.01)
Under 3.5
73.53%
▲
(+2.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
66.7%
▼
(-0.97)
Under 0.5
33.29%
▲
(+0.97)
Over 1.5
30.09%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 1.5
69.91%
▲
(+1.08)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
77.75%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 0.5
22.24%
▲
(+1.35)
Over 1.5
44.32%
▼
(-2.07)
Under 1.5
55.67%
▲
(+2.07)
Score analysis
Lazio
27.75%
Draw
25.74%
Napoli
46.51%
Lazio
1-0
@
8.14%
▲
(+0.52)
2-1 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.75%
2-1 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.75%
Draw
1-1
@
12.24%
▲
(+0.31)
0-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.65)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 25.74%
0-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.65)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 25.74%
Napoli
0-1
@
11.13%
▲
(+0.57)
1-2 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.22)
1-4 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.18)
0-4 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 46.51%
1-2 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.22)
1-4 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.18)
0-4 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 46.51%
Head to Head
-
Lorenzo Insigne
7'
-
Matteo Politano
12'
-
Kostas Manolas
15'
-
Fabian
42'
-
Dries Mertens
45'+1'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
53'
-
Dries Mertens
65'
-
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
73'
-
Victor Osimhen
80'
-
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
6'
-
Lucas Leiva
30'
-
Ciro Immobile
48'
-
Ciro Immobile
70'
-
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
74'
-
Andreas Pereira
75'
-
Fabian
9'
-
Kalidou Koulibaly
15'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
54'
-
Mario Rui
69'
-
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
70'
-
Matteo Politano
90'+2'
-
Eljif Elmas
90'+5'
-
Ciro Immobile
22'
-
Silvio Proto
70'
-
Ciro Immobile
72'
-
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
90'+4'
