Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
1 - 1
Lecce

Elmas (27')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Colombo (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	AC Milan	4	4	8
4	Napoli	3	7	7
5	Lazio	3	3	7

Lecce

Last Six:

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Empoli	3	-1	2
15	Lecce	3	-2	1
16	Bologna	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Lecce
64.16% ( -0.27)	20.34% ( 0.16)	15.5% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 51.55% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.48% (

-0.46)

43.52% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.09% (

-0.45)

65.91% (

0.45)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.15% (

-0.22)

12.85% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.78% (

-0.45)

39.22% (

0.45)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.15% (

-0.13)

40.85% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58% (

-0.12)

77.42% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Napoli 64.16%

Lecce 15.5%

Draw 20.34%

Napoli	Draw	Lecce
2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 64.16%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.34%	0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 15.5%