/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fleclog.png)
-
Eljif Elmas
27'
-
Lorenzo Colombo
31'
Napoli vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F11%2Fluciano-spalletti.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result
Napoli
64.16%
▼
(-0.28)
Draw
20.34%
▲
(+0.16)
Lecce
15.5%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
51.55%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.48%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 2.5
43.52%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 3.5
34.09%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 3.5
65.91%
▲
(+0.46)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
87.15%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
12.85%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
60.78%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 1.5
39.22%
▲
(+0.45)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
59.15%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
40.85%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
22.58%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
77.42%
▲
(+0.12)
Score analysis
Napoli
64.16%
Draw
20.34%
Lecce
15.5%
Napoli
2-0
@
11.05%
▲
(+0.05)
1-0 @ 10.77% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 64.16%
1-0 @ 10.77% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 64.16%
Draw
1-1
@
9.64%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.34%
0-0 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.34%
Lecce
0-1
@
4.7%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.5%
1-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.5%
Head to Head
-
Kalidou Koulibaly
37'
-
Arkadiusz Milik
48'
-
Piotr Zielinski
57'
-
Arkadiusz Milik
73'
-
Mario Rui
80'
-
Diego Demme
84'
-
Jose Callejon
90'
-
Gianluca Lapadula
29'
-
Gianluca Lapadula
61'
-
Andrea Rispoli
66'
-
Mauro Vigorito
78'
-
Marco Mancosu
82'
-
Jacopo Petriccione
85'
Serie A
Gameweek
4
-
Panagiotis Tachtsidis
37'
-
Gabriel
38'
-
Andrea Tabanelli
49'
-
Marco Mancosu
61'
-
Faouzi Ghoulam
22'
-
Fernando Llorente
28'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
40'
-
Eljif Elmas
45'
-
Fabian
52'
-
Fabian
53'
-
Fernando Llorente
82'