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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Lecce logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Lecce

Elmas (27')
Politano (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Colombo (31')
Hjulmand (33'), Colombo (40'), Gonzalez (90+7'), Gendrey (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-0 Lecce

Despite their lack of points, Lecce have proved tough enough to withstand pressure and have not lost by more than a one-goal margin. If Napoli opt to rotate their resources, a new-look XI may take a while to gel - but their class in the final third should get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawLecce
64.16% (-0.271 -0.27) 20.34% (0.156 0.16) 15.5% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.55% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)43.52% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-0.455 -0.45)65.91% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)12.85% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.78% (-0.45 -0.45)39.22% (0.449 0.45)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (-0.129 -0.13)40.85% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.115 -0.12)77.42% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 64.16%
    Lecce 15.5%
    Draw 20.34%
NapoliDrawLecce
2-0 @ 11.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.88% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 64.16%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.34%
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.078 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.32% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.5%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
88.3%
Draw
8.3%
Lecce
3.3%
120
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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