Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
2 - 1
Sampdoria

Audero (44' og.), Doig (45+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Caputo (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

Last Six:

Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Hellas Verona
Wednesday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Bologna	4	-3	2
17	Hellas Verona	4	-4	2
18	Sampdoria	4	-6	2

Sampdoria

Last Six:

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Lazio
Wednesday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Hellas Verona	4	-4	2
18	Sampdoria	4	-6	2
19	Cremonese	4	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Sampdoria
45.88% ( -0.15)	26.67% ( -0.09)	27.45% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 48.89% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.46% (

0.47)

55.54% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29% (

0.39)

76.71% (

-0.39)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

0.13)

24.16% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.52% (

0.19)

58.48% (

-0.19)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46% (

0.45)

35.54% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69% (

0.46)

72.31% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 45.87%

Sampdoria 27.45%

Draw 26.66%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 45.87%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 27.45%