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Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Merkur Arena
Lazio logo

Sturm Graz
0 - 0
Lazio

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

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Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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Lazio

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lazio 4-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawLazio
51.35% (0.139 0.14)23.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)24.76% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.71% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)46.3% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.42% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)68.59% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (0.022999999999996 0.02)18.04% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (0.042000000000002 0.04)48.94% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.149 -0.15)32.79% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (-0.165 -0.17)69.35% (0.16499999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 51.35%
    Lazio 24.76%
    Draw 23.89%
Sturm GrazDrawLazio
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.35%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.6% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 24.76%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Lazio

Sturm Graz
15.1%
Draw
10.6%
Lazio
74.4%
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