/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fcrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
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Ciro Immobile
7'
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Ciro Immobile
21'
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Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
45'+2'
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Pedro
79'
Cremonese vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Cremonese
35.22%
▲
(+2.09)
Draw
24.95%
▲
(+0.13)
Lazio
39.84%
▼
(-2.21)
Both Teams to Score:
57.77%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.43%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
45.57%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
32.1%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
67.9%
▲
(+0.11)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5
74.78%
▲
(+1.18)
Under 0.5
25.22%
▼
(-1.18)
Over 1.5
40.04%
▲
(+1.60)
Under 1.5
59.96%
▼
(-1.60)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
77.25%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 0.5
22.75%
▲
(+1.12)
Over 1.5
43.56%
▼
(-1.69)
Under 1.5
56.44%
▲
(+1.69)
Score analysis
Cremonese
35.22%
Draw
24.94%
Lazio
39.84%
Cremonese
2-1
@
8.06%
▲
(+0.31)
1-0 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.30)
2-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.38)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.26)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 35.22%
1-0 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.30)
2-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.38)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.26)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 35.22%
Draw
1-1
@
11.7%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
Lazio
1-2
@
8.66%
▼
(-0.25)
0-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.41)
1-3 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.28)
0-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.32)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.16)
0-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.16)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.84%
0-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.41)
1-3 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.28)
0-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.32)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.16)
0-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.16)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.84%
