| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Hellas Verona | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 6 | -5 | 2 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 7 | -9 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Inter Milan | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Lazio | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Juventus | 6 | 5 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Lazio |
| 35.22% ( | 24.95% ( | 39.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% ( | 45.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% ( | 67.9% ( |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( | 25.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% ( | 59.96% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( | 22.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.56% ( | 56.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.84% |