Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Hellas Verona | 6 | -5 | 5 |
18 | Cremonese | 6 | -5 | 2 |
19 | Sampdoria | 7 | -9 | 2 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Inter Milan | 6 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Lazio | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Juventus | 6 | 5 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Lazio |
35.22% ( 2.08) | 24.95% ( 0.13) | 39.84% ( -2.21) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% ( -0.11) | 45.57% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% ( -0.11) | 67.9% ( 0.11) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% ( 1.17) | 25.22% ( -1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.04% ( 1.59) | 59.96% ( -1.59) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.25% ( -1.12) | 22.75% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.56% ( -1.68) | 56.44% ( 1.68) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |