Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.