Serie A Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Joaquin Correa 12' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 38' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 76' goal
  • goal David Okereke 90'

Inter Milan vs Cremonese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Lazio 3 - 1 Inter Milan
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Cremonese

All competitions
Serie A
Last game
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Cremonese 1 - 2 Torino
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Daniel Ciofani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 75.83%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 75.83% (+1.07)
Draw 14.97% (-0.45)
Cremonese 9.19% (-0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.43% (-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.34% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 34.66% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 43.39% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 56.6% (-0.12)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 92.39% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 7.61% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 72.78% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 27.21% (-0.64)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5 54.59% (-1.20)
Under 0.5 45.41% (+1.20)
Over 1.5 18.74% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 81.26% (+0.96)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 75.83%
Draw 14.97%
Cremonese 9.19%
Inter Milan
2-0 @ 11.46% (+0.23)
3-0 @ 9.84% (+0.32)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.13)
1-0 @ 8.9% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.77% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.34% (+0.28)
4-1 @ 5% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 3.26% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.11)
5-1 @ 2.58% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.05)
6-0 @ 1.4% (+0.10)
6-1 @ 1.11% (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 75.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.03% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 14.97%
Cremonese
1-2 @ 2.77% (-0.17)
0-1 @ 2.73% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 1.08% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 9.19%