Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 2
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hojlund (57'), Santos (65' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Monza and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 3-0 Monza
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Sampdoria	5	-7	2
19	Cremonese	5	-5	1
20	Monza	4	-9	0

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Torino
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	AC Milan	5	5	11
3	Atalanta BC	4	5	10
4	Udinese	5	4	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Monza had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Atalanta BC
31.09% ( 2.4)	24.49% ( 0.62)	44.42% ( -3.01)

Both teams to score 57.97% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.29% (

-1.54)

44.71% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.93% (

-1.51)

67.07% (

1.51)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

0.83)

27.31% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.24% (

1.07)

62.76% (

-1.06)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76% (

-1.87)

20.25% (

1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.42% (

-3.09)

52.59% (

3.1)

Score Analysis

Monza 31.09%

Atalanta BC 44.42%

Draw 24.49%

Monza	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.09%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.49%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.44) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.42%