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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Torino logo

Atalanta
3 - 1
Torino

Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Zappacosta (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vlasic (77')
Aina (19'), Buongiorno (46'), Vlasic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atalanta BC 2-2 Torino

Plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected in this fixture, considering that 35 goals have been scored at an average of 5.8 per game over the last three seasons. Atalanta will be viewed as the slight favourites on home soil, but the visitors are sure to have their say in the contest and should do enough to claim a hard-fought point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Torino had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
54.45% (-0.101 -0.1) 23.98% (0.044 0.04) 21.57% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)49.85% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)71.85% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)18.2% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (-0.133 -0.13)49.21% (0.138 0.14)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.44% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 54.44%
    Torino 21.57%
    Draw 23.97%
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.44%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Torino

Atalanta BC
66.2%
Draw
26.2%
Torino
7.6%
210
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
Atalanta
4-4
Torino
Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), De Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')
Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63'), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Belotti (79')
Rincon (52'), Bremer (72')
Muriel (6'), Piccoli (90+3')
Demiral (23'), Musso (81')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
3-3
Torino
Ilicic (14'), Sirigu (19' og.), Muriel (21')
Luis Palomino (41'), Pasalic (86'), Toloi (87')
Belotti (42'), Bremer (45+1'), Bonazzoli (84')
Zaza (24'), N'Koulou (27')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
Torino
2-4
Atalanta
Belotti (11', 43')
Zaza (39')
Papu (13'), Muriel (21'), Hateboer (42'), De Roon (54')
Caldara (30'), Freuler (87')
Jan 25, 2020 7.45pm
Torino
0-7
Atalanta

Izzo (44'), Sirigu (89')
Izzo (76'), Lukic (89')
Ilicic (17', 53', 54'), Gosens (29'), Zapata (45' pen.), Muriel (86' pen., 88')
de Roon (38'), Hateboer (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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