Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
3 - 1
Torino

Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vlasic (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Lazio	4	3	8
7	Atalanta BC	3	3	7
8	Torino	3	2	7

Torino

Last Six:

Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Torino
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Atalanta BC	3	3	7
8	Torino	3	2	7
9	Udinese	4	0	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Torino had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Torino
54.45% ( -0.1)	23.98% ( 0.04)	21.57% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 50.99% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.15% (

-0.11)

49.85% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15% (

-0.09)

71.85% (

0.1)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.8% (

-0.08)

18.2% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.79% (

-0.13)

49.21% (

0.14)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.34% (

37.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.56% (

74.44% (

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 54.44%

Torino 21.57%

Draw 23.97%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.44%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.57%