Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 11.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Mattia Zaccagni 12' goal
  • Alessio Romagnoli 24' goal
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 61' goal
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 90'+1' goal

Lazio vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 2.00pm
Cremonese 0 - 4 Lazio
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Ciro Immobile

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 5.00pm
Spezia 2 - 1 Sampdoria
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mbala N'Zola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result

Lazio 70.88% (+0.01)
Draw 17.21%
Spezia 11.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.41%

Goals

Over 2.5 62.69%
Under 2.5 37.31% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 40.48%
Under 3.5 59.52% (+0.01)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 90.64% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 9.35%
Over 1.5 68.49% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 31.51%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 57.81%
Under 0.5 42.18% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.4%
Under 1.5 78.59% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lazio 70.87%
Draw 17.21%
Spezia 11.91%
Lazio
2-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 7.55%
4-0 @ 5.18%
4-1 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 3.26%
5-0 @ 2.46%
5-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 5.17%
Total : 70.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.13%
0-0 @ 3.94%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 17.21%
Spezia
1-2 @ 3.48%
0-1 @ 3.4%
0-2 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 11.91%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Kelvin Amian 9' goal
  • Kevin Agudelo 35' goal
  • Petko Hristov 56' goal
  • Rey Manaj 64' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Amian 64' yellowcard
  • Viktor Kovalenko 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ciro Immobile 33'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zaccagni 37'
  • goal Ivan Provedel 54' (OG)
  • goal Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 68'
  • goal Francesco Acerbi 90'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
6
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Ciro Immobile 5' goal
  • Ciro Immobile 15' goal
  • Ciro Immobile 45'+2' goal
  • Felipe Anderson 47' goal
  • Elseid Hysaj 70' goal
  • Luis Alberto 85' goal
  • goal Daniele Verde 4'
  • yellowcard Martin Erlic 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gyasi 49'
  • redcard Kelvin Amian 54'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andreas Pereira 30' yellowcard
  • Manuel Lazzari 56' goal
  • Joaquin Correa 77' yellowcard
  • Felipe Caicedo 88' goal
  • Simone Inzaghi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Manuel Lazzari 90'+6' redcard
  • Joaquin Correa 90'+8' redcard
  • yellowcard Julian Chabot 20'
  • goal Daniele Verde 73'
  • yellowcard Mbala N'Zola 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Kevin Agudelo 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Dec 5, 2020 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Simone Bastoni 23' yellowcard
  • Claudio Terzi 31' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 64' goal
  • Matteo Ricci 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ciro Immobile 15'
  • goal Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 33'
  • yellowcard Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro 84'