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Giacomo Raspadori
89'
Napoli vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
78.42%
▼
(-1.57)
Draw
13.62%
▲
(+0.58)
Spezia
7.95%
▲
(+0.99)
Both Teams to Score:
50.04%
▲
(+3.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.74%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 2.5
32.25%
▼
(-1.11)
Over 3.5
46.13%
▲
(+1.28)
Under 3.5
53.86%
▼
(-1.28)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
93.43%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
6.56%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
75.56%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
24.43%
▲
(+0.19)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
53.55%
▲
(+3.34)
Under 0.5
46.44%
▼
(-3.35)
Over 1.5
17.93%
▲
(+2.45)
Under 1.5
82.06%
▼
(-2.45)
Score analysis
Napoli
78.41%
Draw
13.62%
Spezia
7.95%
Napoli
2-0
@
11.3%
▼
(-0.78)
3-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.75)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.25)
1-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.54)
3-1 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.20)
4-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.54)
4-1 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.11)
5-0 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.34)
5-1 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.23)
6-0 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.15)
6-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 78.41%
3-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.75)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.25)
1-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.54)
3-1 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.20)
4-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.54)
4-1 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.11)
5-0 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.34)
5-1 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.23)
6-0 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.15)
6-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 78.41%
Draw
1-1
@
6.37%
▲
(+0.21)
2-2 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.39)
0-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 13.62%
2-2 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.39)
0-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 13.62%
Spezia
1-2
@
2.44%
▲
(+0.30)
0-1 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 7.95%
0-1 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 7.95%
Ardian Ismajli
77'