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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Juventus
2 - 0
Spezia

Vlahovic (9'), Milik (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bastoni (11'), Holm (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Spezia

Though their squad feels particularly thin due to injuries, Juventus can continue their supremacy in this match-up of Serie A royalty with provincial hopefuls. It may not be pretty to watch, but the hosts have enough individual quality to decide the game in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawSpezia
69.99% (-0.244 -0.24) 18.22% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 11.78% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.26% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)42.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)64.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)10.96% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.81% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)35.18% (0.159 0.16)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.2% (0.231 0.23)45.8% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (0.181 0.18)81.56% (-0.18400000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 69.98%
    Spezia 11.78%
    Draw 18.22%
JuventusDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 69.98%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.22%
0-1 @ 3.92% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.38% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.78%

How you voted: Juventus vs Spezia

Juventus
89.1%
Draw
9.2%
Spezia
1.7%
119
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 5pm
Juventus
1-0
Spezia
Morata (21')
Vlahovic (57'), Pellegrini (61'), Bernardeschi (68')

Erlic (54'), Motta (59'), Bourabia (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 5.30pm
Spezia
2-3
Juventus
Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')
Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), De Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
3-0
Spezia
Morata (62'), Chiesa (71'), Ronaldo (89')
Frabotta (10'), Demiral (90')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Juventus
Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')
Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76'), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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