Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
2 - 0
Spezia

Vlahovic (9'), Milik (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

Last Six:

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Torino	3	2	7
8	Juventus	3	3	5
9	Fiorentina	3	1	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Spezia
69.99% ( -0.24)	18.22% ( 0.09)	11.78% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 48.26% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.5% (

-0.04)

42.5% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.1% (

-0.04)

64.9% (

0.03)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.04% (

-0.07)

10.96% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.81% (

-0.16)

35.18% (

0.16)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.2% (

0.23)

45.8% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.43% (

0.18)

81.56% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Juventus 69.98%

Spezia 11.78%

Draw 18.22%

Juventus	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 69.98%	1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.22%	0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.78%