Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
2 - 2
Sassuolo

Bastoni (30'), N'Zola (45+3' pen.)
Ekdal (68')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Frattesi (27'), Pinamonti (50')
Marco Ferrari (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Udinese	3	-1	4
11	Sassuolo	2	-2	3
12	Spezia	2	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Sassuolo
34.47% ( -0.09)	24.2% ( 0.03)	41.33% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 60.3% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79% (

-0.18)

42.2% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39% (

-0.18)

64.6% (

0.18)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

-0.13)

24.06% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66% (

-0.19)

58.34% (

0.19)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41% (

-0.05)

20.58% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.88% (

-0.08)

53.12% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Spezia 34.47%

Sassuolo 41.33%

Draw 24.19%

Spezia	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.47%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 41.33%