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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Sassuolo logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Sassuolo

Bastoni (30'), N'Zola (45+3' pen.)
Ekdal (68')
Ekdal (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Frattesi (27'), Pinamonti (50')
Marco Ferrari (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Sassuolo

After a win and a loss from their opening two games, Spezia are set to draw a Serie A home game for the first time since December. Since then, four wins and seven defeats at the picturesque Picco have underlined their inconsistency, but Luca Gotti should make them a more resilient unit; Sassuolo still lack their former firepower up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawSassuolo
34.47% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 24.2% (0.034000000000002 0.03) 41.33% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.3% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (-0.177 -0.18)42.2% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (-0.177 -0.18)64.6% (0.178 0.18)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.133 -0.13)24.06% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.187 -0.19)58.34% (0.189 0.19)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)20.58% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)53.12% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 34.47%
    Sassuolo 41.33%
    Draw 24.19%
SpeziaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.06% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.47%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.83% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 41.33%

How you voted: Spezia vs Sassuolo

Spezia
19.3%
Draw
39.8%
Sassuolo
41.0%
83
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 5.45pm
Sassuolo
4-1
Spezia
Berardi (17' pen., 48'), Ayhan (78'), Scamacca (81')
Henrique (20'), Berardi (44')
Verde (36')
Kovalenko (15'), Maggiore (55'), Erlic (80')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Sassuolo
Manaj (35'), Gyasi (48')
Reca (1'), Maggiore (4'), Sala (26'), Hristov (90')
Raspadori (66', 79')
Frattesi (44'), Kiriakopoulos (74'), Berardi (85')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
Spezia
Caputo (25')
De Zerbi (70'), Locatelli (79'), Ferrari (86')
Erlic (39'), Gyasi (78')
Bastoni (31'), Erlic (70'), Vignali (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 11.30am
Spezia
1-4
Sassuolo
Galabinov (30')
Sala (44'), Zoet (63')
Duricic (12'), Berardi (64' pen.), Defrel (66'), Caputo (76')
Duricic (45+4')
Aug 18, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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