/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsaslog.png)
-
Simone Bastoni
30'
-
Mbala N'Zola
45'+3'
-
Albin Ekdal
68'
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Albin Ekdal
81'
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Davide Frattesi
27'
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Gian Marco Ferrari
45'+1'
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Andrea Pinamonti
50'
Spezia vs Sassuolo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Spezia
34.47%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
24.2%
▲
(+0.04)
Sassuolo
41.33%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
60.3%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.79%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
42.2%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
35.39%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
64.6%
▲
(+0.18)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
75.93%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
24.06%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
41.66%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
58.34%
▲
(+0.19)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5
79.41%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
20.58%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
46.88%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
53.12%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Spezia
34.47%
Draw
24.19%
Sassuolo
41.33%
Spezia
2-1
@
7.94%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.47%
1-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.47%
Draw
1-1
@
11.15%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.19%
2-2 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.19%
Sassuolo
1-2
@
8.81%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 41.33%
0-1 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 41.33%