Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Simone Bastoni 45'+2' goal
  • Jerdy Schouten 54' goal
  • goal Marko Arnautovic 7'
  • goal Marko Arnautovic 64'

Spezia vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus 2 - 0 Spezia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mbala N'Zola

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Bologna 1 - 1 Salernitana
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Riccardo Orsolini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Spezia 43.29% (+0.31)
Draw 26.86% (-0.27)
Bologna 29.85% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.73% (+0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.87% (+0.99)
Under 2.5 55.13% (-0.99)
Over 3.5 23.62% (+0.81)
Under 3.5 76.38% (-0.81)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 74.75% (+0.60)
Under 0.5 25.25% (-0.60)
Over 1.5 40% (+0.83)
Under 1.5 60% (-0.82)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 66.53% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 33.47% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 29.9% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 70.1% (-0.54)

Score analysis

Spezia 43.29%
Draw 26.86%
Bologna 29.85%
Spezia
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.24)
2-1 @ 8.76% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.67% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.2% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.38% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.26% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.86%
Bologna
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 6.97% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.54% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.85%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Luis Binks 19' yellowcard
  • Marko Arnautovic 40' goal
  • Marko Arnautovic 84' goal
  • goal Rey Manaj 11'
  • yellowcard Rey Manaj 22'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2021 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Arkadiusz Reca 38' yellowcard
  • Eddie Salcedo 71' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 82' yellowcard
  • goal Marko Arnautovic 83'
  • yellowcard Marko Arnautovic 88'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 18, 2021 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Riccardo Orsolini 12' goal
  • Musa Barrow 18' goal
  • Adama Soumaoro 39' yellowcard
  • Mattias Svanberg 54' goal
  • Mattias Svanberg 60' goal
  • goal Ardian Ismajli 34'
  • yellowcard Simone Bastoni 36'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Riccardo Marchizza 16' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 19' goal
  • Emmanuel Gyasi 37' yellowcard
  • Lucien Agoume 49' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 63' goal
  • Julian Chabot 85' yellowcard
  • Ivan Provedel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Martin Erlic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 25'
  • goal Nicolas Dominguez 72'
  • goal Musa Barrow 90'+2'
Coppa Italia
Nov 25, 2020 4.30pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
ET Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Musa Barrow 13' goal
  • Nicolas Dominguez 44' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 45'+1' goal
  • Gary Medel 50' yellowcard
  • Roberto Soriano 104' yellowcard
  • Nicola Sansone 116' yellowcard
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 5'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Marchizza 27'
  • yellowcard Kevin Agudelo 58'
  • yellowcard Julian Chabot 62'
  • goal Diego Farias 64'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 78'
  • yellowcard Titas Krapikas 89'
  • goal Giulio Maggiore 100'
  • yellowcard Federico Mattiello 114'
  • yellowcard Giulio Maggiore 114'
  • goal Giulio Maggiore 119'