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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Bologna logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Bologna

Bastoni (45+2'), Schouten (54' og.)
Holm (38'), Bastoni (56'), Sala (90+1'), Nikolaou (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arnautovic (7', 64')
Zirkzee (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Spezia
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Salernitana
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Bologna

Having produced just six goals between them so far, a high-scoring classic is unlikely to entertain the locals of La Spezia this weekend. Still over-reliant on Arnautovic, Bologna may once again fail to take maximum points, and their hosts should secure at least a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawBologna
43.29% (0.302 0.3) 26.86% (-0.262 -0.26) 29.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.73% (0.761 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (0.98399999999999 0.98)55.13% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (0.805 0.81)76.38% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.59999999999999 0.6)25.25% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.82 0.82)60% (-0.819 -0.82)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.488 0.49)33.47% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.532 0.53)70.1% (-0.53 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 43.29%
    Bologna 29.85%
    Draw 26.86%
SpeziaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Spezia vs Bologna

Spezia
32.8%
Draw
39.3%
Bologna
27.9%
61
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 8pm
Bologna
2-1
Spezia
Arnautovic (40', 84')
Binks (19')
Manaj (11')
Manaj (22')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Bologna

Reca (38'), Salcedo (71'), N'Zola (82')
Arnautovic (83' pen.)
Arnautovic (88')
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
Bologna
4-1
Spezia
Orsolini (12' pen.), Barrow (18'), Svanberg (54', 60')
Soumaoro (39')
Ismajli (34')
Bastoni (36')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Bologna
N'Zola (19', 63')
Marchizza (16'), Gyasi (37'), Agoume (49'), Chabot (85'), Provedel (90+1'), Erlic (90+3')
Dominguez (72'), Barrow (90+2')
Tomiyasu (25')
Nov 25, 2020 4.30pm
Bologna
2-4
Spezia
Barrow (13'), Orsolini (45+1')
Dominguez (44'), Medel (50'), Soriano (104'), Sansone (116')
Piccoli (5'), Farias (64'), Maggiore (100', 119')
Marchizza (27'), Agudelo (58'), Chabot (62'), Deiola (78'), Krapikas (89'), Mattiello (114'), Maggiore (114')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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