Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
2 - 2
Bologna

Bastoni (45+2'), Schouten (54' og.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Arnautovic (7', 64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

Last Six:

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Salernitana
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Lecce	4	-2	2
16	Bologna	4	-3	2
17	Hellas Verona	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Bologna
43.29% ( 0.3)	26.86% ( -0.26)	29.85% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.87% (

0.98)

55.13% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62% (

0.81)

76.38% (

-0.81)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

0.6)

25.25% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

0.82)

60% (

-0.82)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

0.49)

33.47% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9% (

0.53)

70.1% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Spezia 43.29%

Bologna 29.85%

Draw 26.86%

Spezia	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.29%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.85%