Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Sep 17, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
2 - 1
Sampdoria

Murillo (12' og.), N'Zola (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sabiri (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Spezia
Saturday, September 10 at 2pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Hellas Verona	6	-5	5
16	Spezia	6	-5	5
17	Empoli	6	-2	4

Sampdoria

Last Six:

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cremonese	6	-5	2
19	Sampdoria	6	-8	2
20	Monza	6	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Sampdoria
45.6% ( 1.62)	28.61% ( 0.52)	25.79% ( -2.14)

Both teams to score 42.55% (

-2.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.96% (

-2.7)

63.05% (

2.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.5% (

-2)

82.5% (

2.01)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27% (

-0.43)

27.73% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.71% (

-0.56)

63.29% (

0.56)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.87% (

-3.36)

41.13% (

3.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.33% (

-3.13)

77.67% (

3.13)

Score Analysis

Spezia 45.6%

Sampdoria 25.79%

Draw 28.6%

Spezia	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 14.62% ( 1.24) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.67% Total : 45.6%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.4% ( 1.1) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.42) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.6%	0-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.57) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.24) Other @ 1.24% Total : 25.79%