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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Milan logo

Sampdoria
1 - 2
AC Milan

Duricic (57')
Ferrari (54'), Villar (66'), Quagliarella (90+3'), Augello (90+5'), Leris (90+6')
Giampaolo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Messias (6'), Giroud (67' pen.)
Leao (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 1-1 AC Milan
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Sampdoria 0-2 AC Milan

Although recovering quickly from their midweek exertions may be a challenge for Milan, they are fortunate their opponents are drained of confidence and lack a goalscoring threat. Pioli can therefore make use of his deepening squad to continue his side's unbeaten start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 0-3 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
10.18% (-0.064 -0.06) 17.03% (-0.099 -0.1) 72.78% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.72% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48% (0.25899999999999 0.26)41.51% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08% (0.262 0.26)63.91% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)48.09% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)83.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (0.105 0.11)9.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67% (0.248 0.25)32.99% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 10.19%
    AC Milan 72.77%
    Draw 17.03%
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 3.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-1 @ 2.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 10.19%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.03%
0-2 @ 12.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 9.79% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 5.64% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.13% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.6% (0.03 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.9% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.015 0.01)
0-6 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 72.77%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs AC Milan

Sampdoria
17.1%
Draw
13.7%
AC Milan
69.2%
117
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 11.30am
Aug 23, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 3, 2021 11.30am
AC Milan
1-1
Sampdoria
Quagliarella (57')
Colley (32'), Thorsby (39'), Silva (45+1'), Candreva (73')
Silva (59')
Dec 6, 2020 7.45pm
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Ekdal (82')
Silva (26'), Jankto (45+2')
Kessie (45' pen.), Castillejo (77')
Kessie (5')
Jan 6, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
0-0
Sampdoria

Krunic (13')

Depaoli (40'), Thorsby (68'), Colley (70'), Bereszynski (78'), Linetty (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan146442416822
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Lecce164481027-1716
14Parma163672328-515
15Genoa153661324-1115
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
17CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
18Como152671628-1212
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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