Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
1 - 2
AC Milan

Duricic (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Messias (6'), Giroud (67' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

Last Six:

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Sampdoria
Sunday, September 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Lecce	5	-3	2
18	Sampdoria	5	-7	2
19	Cremonese	5	-5	1

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Salzburg 1-1 AC Milan
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Napoli	5	8	11
3	AC Milan	5	5	11
4	Udinese	5	4	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 0-3 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	AC Milan
10.18% ( -0.06)	17.03% ( -0.1)	72.78% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 46.72% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.48% (

0.26)

41.51% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.08% (

0.26)

63.91% (

-0.27)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.9% (

0.04)

48.09% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.7% (

0.03)

83.29% (

-0.04)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.01% (

0.11)

9.99% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67% (

0.25)

32.99% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 10.19%

AC Milan 72.77%

Draw 17.03%

Sampdoria	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 10.19%	1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.03%	0-2 @ 12.74% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 5.64% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.13% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 72.77%