| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Udinese | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Spezia | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Lazio | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
| 20.93% ( | 20.57% ( | 58.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.63% ( | 35.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.6% ( | 57.4% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( | 30.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.84% ( | 66.16% ( |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.07% ( | 11.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.7% ( | 37.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 5.51% ( 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 3-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 20.93% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-0 @ 3.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 1-3 @ 6.9% ( 0-3 @ 5.74% ( 2-3 @ 4.15% ( 1-4 @ 3.67% ( 0-4 @ 3.05% ( 2-4 @ 2.21% ( 1-5 @ 1.56% ( 0-5 @ 1.3% ( 2-5 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 58.5% |