Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.