Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
1 - 1
AC Milan

Okafor (28')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Saelemaekers (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

Last Game: Salzburg 3-4 Al Ittihad
Sunday, August 7 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: AC Milan 3-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 3 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Napoli	5	8	11
3	AC Milan	5	5	11
4	Udinese	5	4	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	AC Milan
36.73% ( 0.03)	23.81% ( -0.01)	39.46% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 62.16% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.05% (

0.03)

39.95% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.69% (

0.04)

62.31% (

-0.04)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17% (

0.03)

21.82% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96% (

0.05)

55.04% (

-0.05)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

20.48% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03% (

0.01)

52.96% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 36.73%

AC Milan 39.46%

Draw 23.8%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.73%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.79% 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 39.46%