Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.33%) and 0-1 (5.07%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.