Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.