Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.24%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 22.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
55.24% | 21.85% | 22.92% |
Both teams to score 59.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.09% | 38.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.77% | 61.23% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.95% | 14.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.37% | 41.63% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% | 30.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% | 66.49% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 6.4% 3-0 @ 5.37% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 3.14% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.24% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-1 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.94% Total : 22.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
7 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Lazio | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |