Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.24%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 22.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 55.24% | 21.85% | 22.92% |
| Both teams to score 59.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.09% | 38.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.77% | 61.23% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.95% | 14.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.37% | 41.63% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% | 30.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% | 66.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 6.4% 3-0 @ 5.37% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 3.14% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.24% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-1 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.94% Total : 22.92% |