UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
3 - 0
Fiorentina

Gurler (57', 71'), Traore (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Salernitana	6	3	7
11	Fiorentina	6	-1	6
12	Bologna	6	-2	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Fiorentina
48.34% ( 0.05)	25.99% ( -0)	25.66% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 49.46% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.89% (

-0.02)

54.11% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.47% (

-0.02)

75.53% (

0.02)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6% (

0.01)

22.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.09% (

0.02)

55.91% (

-0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.74% (

-0.05)

36.26% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.96% (

-0.05)

73.04% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 48.34%

Fiorentina 25.66%

Draw 25.99%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 48.34%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.66%