Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Barrow (59'), Arnautovic (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Empoli	5	-1	4
16	Bologna	5	-3	3
17	Lecce	5	-3	2

Fiorentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 RFS
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Salernitana	5	3	6
11	Fiorentina	5	0	6
12	Sassuolo	5	-2	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Fiorentina
37.54% ( -0.07)	25.57% ( 0.01)	36.89% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.72% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.72% (

-0.05)

48.28% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.57% (

-0.05)

70.43% (

0.05)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82% (

-0.06)

25.17% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1% (

-0.08)

59.9% (

0.08)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

0.01)

25.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61% (

0.01)

60.39% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bologna 37.54%

Fiorentina 36.89%

Draw 25.57%

Bologna	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.54%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.89%