Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
57.37% ( -0.04) | 22.29% ( 0.02) | 20.35% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.8% ( -0.08) | 44.19% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.43% ( -0.08) | 66.57% ( 0.08) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% ( -0.04) | 15.16% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.24% ( -0.08) | 43.76% ( 0.07) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.33% ( -0.03) | 35.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.56% ( -0.03) | 72.44% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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