Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 0
Hellas Verona

Ikone (13'), Gonzalez (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Empoli	7	-1	7
14	Fiorentina	6	-1	6
15	Lecce	7	-2	6

Hellas Verona

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 11 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Bologna	7	-3	6
17	Hellas Verona	6	-5	5
18	Cremonese	6	-5	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Hellas Verona
62.69% ( 0.86)	21.06% ( -0.38)	16.25% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.69% (

0.81)

45.31% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.35% (

0.77)

67.65% (

-0.77)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.15% (

0.53)

13.85% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.77% (

1.03)

41.23% (

-1.03)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.03% (

-0.11)

40.97% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.47% (

-0.1)

77.53% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 62.67%

Hellas Verona 16.25%

Draw 21.06%

Fiorentina	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.78% Total : 62.67%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.06%	0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.25%