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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Roma
0 - 1
Atalanta


Mourinho (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Scalvini (35')
Maehle (23'), Toloi (47'), Hateboer (55'), Demiral (76'), de Roon (80'), Koopmeiners (87'), Malinovskyi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Roma 2-1 Atalanta BC

While their visitors are clearly benefiting from empty midweeks, having failed to qualify for Europe last term, Roma were able to cruise through the latter stages of their Thursday night match after HJK's captain was sent off. Therefore, the combination of home advantage and greater individual ability up front should decide a closely contested affair in the Giallorossi's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
45.23% (0.617 0.62) 28.15% (-0.168 -0.17) 26.63% (-0.449 -0.45)
Both teams to score 44.29% (0.143 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86% (0.33 0.33)61.14% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9% (0.247 0.25)81.1% (-0.245 -0.25)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (0.477 0.48)27.02% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (0.619 0.62)62.38% (-0.618 -0.62)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69% (-0.2 -0.2)39.31% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (-0.187 -0.19)76.02% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Roma 45.23%
    Atalanta BC 26.63%
    Draw 28.14%
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 13.9% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.132 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 45.23%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.62% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 9.92% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Roma vs Atalanta

Roma
64.2%
Draw
22.6%
Atalanta BC
13.1%
137
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Atalanta
4-1
Roma
Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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