Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
0 - 1
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-1)

Scalvini (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Udinese	6	6	13
5	Roma	6	2	13
6	Inter Milan	6	4	12

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Cremonese
Sunday, September 11 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Napoli	6	9	14
2	Atalanta BC	6	7	14
3	AC Milan	6	6	14

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
45.23% ( 0.62)	28.15% ( -0.17)	26.63% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 44.29% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.86% (

0.33)

61.14% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.9% (

0.25)

81.1% (

-0.25)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

0.48)

27.02% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.62% (

0.62)

62.38% (

-0.62)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.69% (

-0.2)

39.31% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.98% (

-0.19)

76.02% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Roma 45.23%

Atalanta BC 26.63%

Draw 28.14%

Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.83% Total : 45.23%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.63%