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UEFA Conference League

Hearts logo
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tynecastle
Fiorentina logo

Hearts
0 - 3
Fiorentina

FT(HT: 0-2)
Mandragora (4'), Kouame (42'), Jovic (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hearts and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hearts 0-4 Rangers
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Fiorentina

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Atalanta 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 2 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawFiorentina
45.68% (-0.14 -0.14)22.27% (0.036999999999999 0.04)32.05% (0.105 0.1)
Both teams to score 66.62% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)33.58% (0.139 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.62% (-0.155 -0.16)55.39% (0.158 0.16)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.68% (-0.102 -0.1)15.33% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.93% (-0.192 -0.19)44.08% (0.195 0.2)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)21.33% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.28% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 45.69%
    Fiorentina 32.05%
    Draw 22.27%
HeartsDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.13% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.75%
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 9.47% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.05% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 32.05%

How you voted: Hearts vs Fiorentina

Hearts
29.8%
Draw
9.5%
Fiorentina
60.7%
84