Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tynecastle
Hearts0 - 3Fiorentina
FT(HT: 0-2)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hearts 0-4 Rangers
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Atalanta 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 2 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Hearts 1-2 Fiorentina
Despite their poor away run in all tournaments, Fiorentina will be regarded as the favourites to claim maximum points on Thursday, considering the quality that they possess in their squad. Hearts will fancy their chances of causing an upset, but we can see the Italians edging out their Scottish opponents to claim their first win in Group A. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Fiorentina |
45.68% ( -0.14) | 22.27% ( 0.04) | 32.05% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 66.62% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
