Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Stokes 47' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 59' goal
  • goal Stephen Humphrys 62'
  • goal Nathaniel Atkinson 90'+4'

Kilmarnock vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 2 - 1 St Johnstone
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danny Armstrong

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 12.30pm
Hearts 0 - 4 Rangers
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Kilmarnock 37.06% (-0.03)
Draw 27.37% (+0.01)
Hearts 35.57% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.73% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.15% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 55.85% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 23.03% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 76.97% (+0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 70.97% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.03% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.07% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 64.93% (+0.03)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 70.06% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.94% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.96% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.04% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 37.05%
Draw 27.37%
Hearts 35.57%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.37%
Hearts
0-1 @ 10.48% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.82% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.32% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 35.57%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • goal Innes Cameron 21'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Sean Clare 35' yellowcard
  • John Souttar 48' yellowcard
  • Steven Naismith 65' yellowcard
  • Sean Clare 79' goal
  • Andrew Irving 86' yellowcard
  • Craig Halkett 89' goal
  • goal Stuart Findlay 24'
  • goal Chris Burke 38'
  • goal Eamonn Brophy 50'
  • yellowcard Alan Power 52'
  • yellowcard Laurentiu Branescu 78'
  • redcard Laurentiu Branescu 80'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 23, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Rugby Park (Kilmarnock)
  • Chris Burke 9' goal
  • Eamonn Brophy 14' goal
  • Chris Burke 16' goal
  • Mohamed El Makrini 62' yellowcard
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)
  • goal Chris Burke 42'
  • yellowcard Mohamed El Makrini 68'
  • yellowcard Laurentiu Branescu 91'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
May 4, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Stadium (Edinburgh)
  • Steven MacLean 43' yellowcard
  • Michael Smith 59' yellowcard
  • Ryan Edwards 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gary Dicker 27'
  • yellowcard Alan Power 42'
  • yellowcard Greg Taylor 82'
  • goal Stuart Findlay 86'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Mulumbu 87'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 90'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2019 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Rugby Park (Kilmarnock)
  • Jordan Jones 42' yellowcard
  • Jordan Jones 45' goal
  • Aaron Tshibola 89' yellowcard
  • Mikael Ndjoli 95' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Clare 38'
  • goal Steven Naismith 43'
  • yellowcard Christophe Berra 72'
  • yellowcard Sean Clare 84'