Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.