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Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hearts logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Hearts

Stokes (47'), Lafferty (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Humphrys (62'), Atkinson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 St Johnstone
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHearts
37.06% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)27.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.57% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)55.85% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)76.97% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.03% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)64.93% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.94% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.012 0.01)66.04% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 37.05%
    Hearts 35.57%
    Draw 27.37%
KilmarnockDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.05%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.57%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Kilmarnock
38.9%
Draw
22.2%
Hearts
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Hearts
0-1
Kilmarnock
Cameron (21')
Donnelly (13')
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
Hearts
2-3
Kilmarnock
Clare (79' pen.), Halkett (89')
Clare (35'), Souttar (48'), Naismith (65'), Irving (86')
Findlay (24'), Burke (38'), Brophy (50')
Power (52'), Branescu (78')
Branescu (80')
> Match Report
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Kilmarnock
3-0
Hearts
Burke (9', 16'), Brophy (14')
El Makrini (62')
> Match Report
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Hearts
0-1
Kilmarnock
Burke (42')
El Makrini (68'), Branescu (91')
> Match Report
May 4, 2019 3pm
Hearts
0-1
Kilmarnock

MacLean (43'), Smith (59'), Edwards (68')
Findlay (86')
Dicker (27'), Power (42'), Taylor (82'), Mulumbu (87'), O'Donnell (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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