Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock2 - 2Hearts
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 St Johnstone
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hearts
On the back of their defeat to Fiorentina, it remains to be seen how Hearts will react to an away game three days later. Kilmarnock are on a high after their return to winning ways in their last outing, and the home side may do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
37.06% ( -0.02) | 27.37% ( 0) | 35.57% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
