Champions League
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Luka Modric
6'
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Rodrygo
21'
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Marco Asensio
51'
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Vinicius Junior
61'
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Federico Valverde
71'
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Jota
84'
Real Madrid vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Celtic had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Celtic win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Real Madrid
51.1%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
24.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Celtic
24.18%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
51.86%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.74%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
50.26%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
27.79%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
72.21%
▲
(+0.05)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
80.33%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
19.67%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
48.35%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
51.65%
▲
(+0.03)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5
64.56%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
35.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
27.79%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
72.2%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
51.09%
Draw
24.71%
Celtic
24.18%
Real Madrid
1-0
@
11.33%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 51.09%
2-1 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 51.09%
Draw
1-1
@
11.75%
0-0 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 24.71%
0-0 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 24.71%
Celtic
0-1
@
7.23%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 24.18%
Head to Head
Champions League
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Vinicius Junior
56'
-
Luka Modric
60'
-
Eden Hazard
77'
Form Data
Build-up
News