Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 2, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
5 - 1
Celtic

Modric (6' pen.), Rodrygo (21' pen.), Asensio (51'), Junior (61'), Valverde (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jota (84')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Rodrygo celebrates scoring against Celtic on November 2, 2022

Holders Real Madrid thump Celtic to secure top spot in Group F

Holders Real Madrid secure first position in their Champions League section courtesy of a 5-1 win over Celtic at Bernabeu.

Nov 2, 19:33

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Girona
Sunday, October 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celtic

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Livingston 0-3 Celtic
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Celtic had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Celtic win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Celtic
51.1% ( 0.01)	24.72% ( 0.01)	24.18% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

-0.04)

50.26% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

-0.04)

72.21% (

0.04)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

-0.01)

19.67% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

-0.02)

51.65% (

0.03)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.56% (

-0.03)

35.44% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.79% (

-0.04)

72.2% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 51.09%

Celtic 24.18%

Draw 24.71%

Real Madrid	Draw	Celtic
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.09%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.18%