Shakhtar Donetsk vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.32%) and 0-3 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.69%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.