Champions League
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Rodrygo 13' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 28' goal
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 39'

Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2022 8.00pm
Real Madrid 2 - 0 RB Leipzig

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2022 5.45pm
Shakhtar 1 - 1 Celtic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 10.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.42%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.69%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result

Real Madrid 67.41% (-0.01)
Draw 21.79% (+0.01)
Shakhtar Donetsk 10.8% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.2% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.31% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.69% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 20.77% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 79.23% (+0.03)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 83.22% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 16.78% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 53.26% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 46.74% (+0.03)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 42.3% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 57.7% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 10.57% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 89.43% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 67.4%
Draw 21.79%
Shakhtar Donetsk 10.8%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 17.28% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 15.42% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.18% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 67.4%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.69% (+0.02)
1-1 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.79%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1 @ 5.33% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 10.8%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 3, 2021 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Karim Benzema 14' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 39' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 61' goal
  • Casemiro 63' yellowcard
  • goal Fernando 39'
  • yellowcard Roberto De Zerbi 55'
  • yellowcard Dentinho 90'+3'
Champions League
Oct 19, 2021 8.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marcos Antonio 47' yellowcard
  • goal Sergiy Krivtsov 37' (OG)
  • goal Vinicius Junior 51'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 56'
  • goal Rodrygo 65'
  • goal Karim Benzema 90'+1'
Champions League
Dec 1, 2020 5.55pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • Dentinho 57' goal
  • Manor Solomon 82' goal
  • yellowcard Raphael Varane 14'
Champions League
Oct 21, 2020 5.55pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
  • Marco Asensio 34' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 54' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 59' goal
  • Eder Militao 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Viktor Korniienko 8'
  • goal Tete 29'
  • goal Raphael Varane 33' (OG)
  • goal Manor Solomon 42'
  • yellowcard Valerii Bondar 83'
Champions League
Nov 25, 2015 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Taras Stepanenko 35' yellowcard
  • Alex Teixeira 77' goal
  • Dentinho 83' goal
  • Alex Teixeira 88' goal
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 18'
  • yellowcard Daniel Carvajal 48'
  • goal Luka Modric 50'
  • goal Daniel Carvajal 52'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 70'
  • yellowcard Danilo 87'
Champions League
Sep 15, 2015 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Karim Benzema 30' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 55' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 63' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 81' goal
  • yellowcard Taras Stepanenko 32'
  • redcard Taras Stepanenko 50'
  • yellowcard Darijo Srna 54'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Kucher 75'
  • yellowcard Maksym Malyshev 80'

Build-up

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