Real Madrid

2 - 1

Shakhtar

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 10.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.42%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.69%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.