La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 11, 2022 at 1pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
4 - 1
Mallorca

Valverde (45+3'), Junior (72'), Rodrygo (89'), Rudiger (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Muriqi (35')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Marco Asensio pictured in August 2022

Marco Asensio left angry after Real Madrid substitution snub

Real Madrid attacker Marco Asensio takes his anger out on the sidelines after being snubbed for minutes in Sunday's 4-1 La Liga win over Mallorca.

Sep 11, 22:16

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Celtic 0-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Barcelona	5	14	13
2	Real Madrid	4	7	12
3	Villarreal	4	9	10

Mallorca

Last Six:

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Girona
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Valencia	5	2	6
13	Mallorca	4	1	5
14	Almeria	4	-1	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 7.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.2%) and 3-0 (11.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
77.78% ( 0.52)	15.07% ( -0.25)	7.15% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 40.03% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.16% (

0.08)

42.84% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.76% (

0.08)

65.24% (

-0.08)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.89% (

0.14)

9.11% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.07% (

0.34)

30.92% (

-0.35)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.04% (

-0.69)

55.95% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.55% (

-0.41)

88.44% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 77.76%

Mallorca 7.15%

Draw 15.07%

Real Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
2-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 7% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.12% Total : 77.76%	1-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.42% Total : 15.07%	0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.14% Total : 7.15%