La Liga
Gameweek
3
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-
Joselu
43'
-
Benjamin Lecomte
90'+6'
-
Vinicius Junior
12'
-
Karim Benzema
88'
-
Karim Benzema
90'+10'
Espanyol vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Espanyol
18.76%
▼
(-0.48)
Draw
22.69%
▼
(-0.13)
Real Madrid
58.54%
▲
(+0.60)
Both Teams to Score:
50.62%
▼
(-0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.85%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
48.14%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
29.7%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
70.3%
▲
(+0.14)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5
60.36%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 0.5
39.64%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 1.5
23.68%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 1.5
76.32%
▲
(+0.57)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
83.87%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
16.13%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
54.45%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
45.55%
▼
(-0.28)
Score analysis
Espanyol
18.76%
Draw
22.69%
Real Madrid
58.54%
Espanyol
1-0
@
5.92%
▼
(-0.07)
2-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.76%
2-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.76%
Draw
1-1
@
10.79%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.69%
0-0 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.69%
Real Madrid
0-1
@
11.66%
▲
(+0.14)
0-2 @ 10.64% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 58.54%
0-2 @ 10.64% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 58.54%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
34
-
Rodrygo
33'
-
Mariano
42'
-
Rodrygo
43'
-
Casemiro
46'
-
Marco Asensio
55'
-
Karim Benzema
81'
La Liga
Gameweek
8
-
Adri Embarba
11'
-
Raul de Tomas
17'
-
Aleix Vidal
60'
-
Oscar Gil
79'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
29'
-
Karim Benzema
71'
La Liga
Gameweek
32
-
Adria Pedrosa
68'
-
Casemiro
45'
-
Vinicius Junior
87'
La Liga
Gameweek
16
-
Vinicius Junior
17'
-
Raphael Varane
37'
-
Ferland Mendy
63'
-
Federico Valverde
74'
-
Karim Benzema
79'
-
Ferland Mendy
83'
-
Esteban Granero
15'
-
Fernando Calero
61'
-
Sergi Darder
91'
La Liga
Gameweek
21
-
Marc Roca
7'
-
Leo Baptistao
25'
-
Sergio Garcia
34'
-
Roberto Rosales
81'
-
Alejandro Lopez
85'
-
Karim Benzema
4'
-
Sergio Ramos
15'
-
Sergio Ramos
27'
-
Karim Benzema
45'
-
Gareth Bale
67'
-
Raphael Varane
72'
-
Dani Carvajal
81'
-
Nacho
88'
-
Thibaut Courtois
90'
La Liga
Gameweek
5
-
Nacho
6'
-
Marco Asensio
41'
-
Casemiro
77'
-
Marc Roca
26'
-
Javi Lopez
45'