La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 28, 2022 at 9pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
1 - 3
Real Madrid

Joselu (43')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Junior (12'), Benzema (88', 90+10')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

Last Six:

Last Game: Espanyol 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sevilla	3	-2	1
16	Espanyol	2	-2	1
17	Real Valladolid	2	-3	1

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 20 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Villarreal	2	5	6
4	Real Madrid	2	4	6
5	Osasuna	3	2	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Real Madrid
18.76% ( -0.47)	22.69% ( -0.13)	58.54% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.85% (

-0.15)

48.14% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.7% (

-0.14)

70.3% (

0.13)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.36% (

-0.61)

39.64% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.68% (

-0.57)

76.32% (

0.57)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.87% (

0.15)

16.13% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.45% (

0.27)

45.55% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 18.76%

Real Madrid 58.54%

Draw 22.69%

Espanyol	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.76%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.69%	0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.64% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.95% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 58.54%