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Friendlies
Jul 24, 2022 at 4am UK
Spotify Camp Nou
Real Madrid logo

Barcelona
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Vazquez (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (27')
Christensen (34'), Alba (43'), Busquets (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's pre-season clash between Barcelona and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Saturday's pre-season friendly with Real Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

Last Six:
    Last Game: Inter Miami 0-6 Barcelona
    Wednesday, July 20 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1

    Real Madrid

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
      Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

      Result
      BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
      36.59% (0.239 0.24)23.47% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)39.94% (-0.177 -0.18)
      Both teams to score 63.42% (0.267 0.27)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      61.69% (0.337 0.34)38.3% (-0.337 -0.34)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      39.41% (0.35599999999999 0.36)60.58% (-0.357 -0.36)
      Barcelona Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      78.84% (0.271 0.27)21.15% (-0.271 -0.27)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      45.98% (0.42 0.42)54.01% (-0.421 -0.42)
      Real Madrid Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      80.43% (0.063999999999993 0.06)19.56% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      48.52% (0.102 0.1)51.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
      Score Analysis
          Barcelona 36.59%
          Real Madrid 39.94%
          Draw 23.46%
      BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
      2-1 @ 8.15% (0.02 0.02)
      1-0 @ 6.43% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
      2-0 @ 4.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      3-1 @ 4.22% (0.044 0.04)
      3-2 @ 3.44% (0.043 0.04)
      3-0 @ 2.59% (0.023 0.02)
      4-1 @ 1.64% (0.031 0.03)
      4-2 @ 1.34% (0.027 0.03)
      4-0 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
      Other @ 2.8%
      Total : 36.59%
      		1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
      2-2 @ 6.65% (0.029 0.03)
      0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
      3-3 @ 1.87% (0.028 0.03)
      Other @ 0.33%
      Total : 23.46%
      		1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.032 -0.03)
      0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.095 -0.09)
      0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.066 -0.07)
      1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
      2-3 @ 3.61% (0.023 0.02)
      0-3 @ 3% (-0.03 -0.03)
      1-4 @ 1.9%
      2-4 @ 1.47% (0.012 0.01)
      0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
      Other @ 3.26%
      Total : 39.94%

      How you voted: Barcelona vs Real Madrid

      Barcelona
      49.7%
      Draw
      9.2%
      Real Madrid
      41.2%
      153
      Head to Head
      Mar 20, 2022 8pm
      Real Madrid
      0-4
      Barcelona

      Kroos (22'), Modric (63'), Camavinga (82'), Vazquez (88')
      Aubameyang (29', 51'), Araujo (38'), Torres (47')
      de Jong (26'), Busquets (31'), Alba (74'), Gonzalez (88')
      Jan 12, 2022 7pm
      Barcelona
      2-3
      Real Madrid
      De Jong (41'), Fati (83')
      Torres (23'), Alves (51')
      Junior (25'), Benzema (72'), Valverde (98')
      Casemiro (75'), Valverde (99')
      Oct 24, 2021 3.15pm
      Barcelona
      1-2
      Real Madrid
      Aguero (90+7')
      Pique (58')
      Alaba (32'), Vazquez (90+3')
      Mendy (80')
      Apr 10, 2021 8pm
      Real Madrid
      2-1
      Barcelona
      Benzema (13'), Kroos (28')
      Nacho (69'), Casemiro (89')
      Casemiro (90')
      Mingueza (60')
      Pedri (23'), Araujo (26'), Alba (84'), Koeman (85')
      Oct 24, 2020 3pm
      Barcelona
      1-3
      Real Madrid
      Fati (8')
      Lenglet (29'), Alba (62'), Messi (90+1')
      Valverde (5'), Ramos (63' pen.), Modric (90')
      Casemiro (19'), Nacho (37')