Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.