| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 15.91% ( | 20.78% ( | 63.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( | 44.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( | 67.05% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.97% ( | 41.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.42% ( | 77.58% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( | 13.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.54% ( | 40.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 4.92% ( 2-1 @ 4.4% ( 2-0 @ 2.19% ( 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 3-1 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 15.91% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 2-2 @ 4.41% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.78% | 0-2 @ 11.1% ( 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0-3 @ 7.42% ( 1-3 @ 6.61% ( 0-4 @ 3.72% ( 1-4 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0-5 @ 1.49% ( 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 1-5 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 63.3% |