La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 20, 2022 at 9pm UK

Estadio de Balaídos

Celta Vigo
1 - 4
Real Madrid

Aspas (23' pen.)
Tapia (13'), Mallo (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Benzema (14' pen.), Modric (41'), Junior (56'), Valverde (66')
Carvajal (65'), Alaba (68')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

Last Six:

Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Espanyol
Saturday, August 13 at 4pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Valencia	1	1	3
9	Celta Vigo	1	0	1
10	Athletic Bilbao	1	0	1

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Almeria 1-2 Real Madrid
Sunday, August 14 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Osasuna	1	1	3
6	Real Madrid	1	1	3
7	Real Sociedad	1	1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Madrid
26.02% ( -2.87)	23.78% ( -0.46)	50.19% ( 3.32)

Both teams to score 56.73% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.29% (

44.7% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.93% (

67.07% (

-0)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09% (

-2.12)

30.91% (

2.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8% (

-2.57)

67.2% (

2.56)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

1.32)

17.88% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.33% (

2.22)

48.67% (

-2.23)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 26.02%

Real Madrid 50.19%

Draw 23.78%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.51) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.9% Total : 26.02%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.66) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0.36) 0-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.56) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.25) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.31) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.19%