UEFA Super Cup | Final

Aug 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Frankfurt

Alaba (37'), Benzema (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alario (90+2')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Juventus
Sunday, July 31 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Real Betis	0	0	0
15	Real Madrid	0	0	0
16	Real Sociedad	0	0	0

Eintracht Frankfurt

Last Six:

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-6 Bayern
Friday, August 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Schalke 04	1	-2	0
17	Augsburg	1	-4	0
18	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
56.82% ( -0.05)	24.78% ( 0.02)	18.4% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 44.07% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.41% (

-0.04)

56.59% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.43% (

-0.03)

77.57% (

0.03)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13% (

-0.04)

19.86% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.03% (

-0.06)

51.97% (

0.06)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55% (

0.02)

45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.06% (

0.01)

80.93% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 56.8%

Eintracht Frankfurt 18.4%

Draw 24.77%

Real Madrid	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
1-0 @ 14.44% 2-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 56.8%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.4%