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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Bayern logo

Frankfurt
1 - 6
Bayern

Kolo (64')
N'Dicka (59'), Kostic (71')
FT(HT: 0-5)
Kimmich (5'), Pavard (11'), Mane (29'), Musiala (35', 83'), Gnabry (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 Bayern Munich

Frankfurt will almost certainly improve on last season's 11th-placed finish and should provide Bayern with a stern opening day test. However, the champions looked irrepressible in attack against Leipzig last weekend, and may have too much firepower on the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 70.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-3 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
12.9% (-1.79 -1.79) 16.82% (-0.905 -0.9) 70.28% (2.696 2.7)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-1.767 -1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (0.14200000000001 0.14)32.66% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.67% (0.165 0.16)54.33% (-0.164 -0.16)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (-2.37 -2.37)37.51% (2.371 2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (-2.4 -2.4)74.29% (2.401 2.4)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.7% (0.627 0.63)8.3% (-0.6259 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.04% (1.538 1.54)28.96% (-1.536 -1.54)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 12.9%
    Bayern Munich 70.28%
    Draw 16.82%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-0 @ 3.05% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 1.5% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 1.22% (-0.227 -0.23)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 12.9%
1-1 @ 7.6% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.371 -0.37)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.82%
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.487 0.49)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 8% (0.626 0.63)
1-3 @ 7.84% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.17 0.17)
0-4 @ 4.98% (0.524 0.52)
1-4 @ 4.88% (0.223 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-5 @ 2.48% (0.326 0.33)
1-5 @ 2.43% (0.178 0.18)
2-4 @ 2.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-5 @ 1.19% (0.014 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.03% (0.161 0.16)
1-6 @ 1.01% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 70.28%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Bayern

Eintracht Frankfurt
11.6%
Draw
10.3%
Bayern Munich
78.0%
232
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 5.30pm
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Frankfurt
2-1
Bayern
Kamada (12'), Younes (31')
Rode (56'), N'Dicka (90+2')
Lewandowski (53')
Flick (61')
Oct 24, 2020 2.30pm
Bayern
5-0
Frankfurt
Lewandowski (10', 26', 60'), Sane (72'), Musiala (90')
Goretzka (17'), Boateng (45+2'), Kimmich (46')
Jun 10, 2020 7.45pm
Bayern
2-1
Frankfurt
Perisic (14'), Lewandowski (74')
Perisic (44'), Hernandez (90+3')
Da Costa (69')
Silva (88'), Hinteregger (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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