Leipzig logo
DFL-Supercup | Final
Jul 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Bayern logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 5
Bayern

Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFL-Supercup clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.57%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 18.73% and a draw has a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 2-1 (4.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.8%).

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
18.73% (-10.873 -10.87)17.7% (-5.222 -5.22)63.57% (16.095 16.1)
Both teams to score 68.96% (6.25 6.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.49% (13.593 13.59)24.51% (-13.593 -13.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.72% (16.098 16.1)44.28% (-16.097 -16.1)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (-0.41199999999999 -0.41)25.4% (0.414 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (-0.567 -0.57)60.21% (0.568 0.57)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.44% (8.84 8.84)7.56% (-8.84 -8.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.92% (18.972 18.97)27.08% (-18.971 -18.97)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 18.73%
    Bayern Munich 63.58%
    Draw 17.7%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.66% (-2.469 -2.47)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-0 @ 2.63% (-3.051 -3.05)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-1.167 -1.17)
2-0 @ 1.8% (-2.138 -2.14)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 18.73%
1-1 @ 6.8% (-3.475 -3.48)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.428 -0.43)
3-3 @ 2.36% (0.57 0.57)
0-0 @ 1.92% (-2.178 -2.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.7%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.513 -0.51)
1-3 @ 7.55% (1.956 1.96)
0-2 @ 6.4% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-3 @ 5.51% (1.476 1.48)
2-3 @ 5.18% (1.294 1.29)
0-1 @ 4.96% (-2.451 -2.45)
1-4 @ 4.88% (2.346 2.35)
0-4 @ 3.56% (1.734 1.73)
2-4 @ 3.34% (1.587 1.59)
1-5 @ 2.52% (1.603 1.6)
0-5 @ 1.84% (1.178 1.18)
2-5 @ 1.73% (1.091 1.09)
3-4 @ 1.53% (0.715 0.72)
1-6 @ 1.08% (0.808 0.81)
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 63.58%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Bayern

RB Leipzig
7.9%
Draw
9.4%
Bayern Munich
82.7%
127
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Bayern
3-3
RB Leipzig
Musiala (30'), Muller (34', 75')
Nkunku (19'), Kluivert (36'), Forsberg (48')
Mukiele (51')
rhs 2.0


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