DC United
Friendlies
Jul 21, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Bayern logo

DC United
2 - 6
Bayern

Simonsen Lehland (54'), Lehland (54'), Ku-Dipietro (83')
Pines (38'), Durkin (55'), Djeffal (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mane (5' pen.), Sabitzer (12'), Gnabry (44'), de Ligt (47'), Zirkzee (51'), Muller (90+2')
de Ligt (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's pre-season friendly between DC United and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

Last Six:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 DC United
Sunday, July 17 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Bayern Munich

Last Six:
    Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
    Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 17.37%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a DC United win it was 2-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

    Result
    DC UnitedDrawBayern Munich
    17.37% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)19.61% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)63.02% (0.115 0.12)
    Both teams to score 58.43% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    63.47% (0.102 0.1)36.53% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    41.32% (0.112 0.11)58.68% (-0.108 -0.11)
    DC United Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    65.7% (-0.012 -0.01)34.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    29% (-0.012 -0.01)71% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
    Bayern Munich Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    88.93% (0.063000000000002 0.06)11.07% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    64.56% (0.133 0.13)35.44% (-0.129 -0.13)
    Score Analysis
        DC United 17.37%
        Bayern Munich 63.02%
        Draw 19.61%
    DC UnitedDrawBayern Munich
    2-1 @ 4.79% (-0.015 -0.01)
    1-0 @ 4.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
    2-0 @ 2.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
    3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
    3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
    Other @ 2.76%
    Total : 17.37%
    		1-1 @ 8.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
    2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
    0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
    3-3 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 0.22%
    Total : 19.61%
    		1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
    0-2 @ 9.2%
    0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
    1-3 @ 7.22% (0.014 0.01)
    0-3 @ 6.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    1-4 @ 3.97% (0.017 0.02)
    2-3 @ 3.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    0-4 @ 3.71% (0.018 0.02)
    2-4 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
    1-5 @ 1.75% (0.012 0.01)
    0-5 @ 1.63% (0.012 0.01)
    2-5 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
    Other @ 3.68%
    Total : 63.02%

    How you voted: DC United vs Bayern

    DC United
    13.0%
    Draw
    8.7%
    Bayern Munich
    78.3%
    46