Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.