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Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Orlando City

New England
1 - 1
Orlando City

Gil (22')
Kaptoum (24'), Farrell (27'), Borrero (56'), Jones (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jansson (35')
Jansson (6'), Mulraney (44'), Schlegel (77'), Smith (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawOrlando City
60.75% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)21.9% (0.026 0.03)17.35% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.47% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)46.99% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (-0.081 -0.08)69.24% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)15% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.53% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)43.46% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.38% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)40.61% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (-0.026 -0.03)77.2% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 60.74%
    Orlando City 17.35%
    Draw 21.89%
New England RevolutionDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 60.74%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.89%
0-1 @ 5.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.47% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 17.35%

How you voted: New England vs Orlando City

New England Revolution
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Orlando City
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
2-2
New England
Nani (39'), Dike (50' pen.)
Mueller (47')
Buksa (81', 90+3')
Farrell (87')
Sep 26, 2021 12am
New England
2-1
Orlando City
Buksa (9'), Schlegel (35' og.)
Buchanan (80')
Dike (18')
Michel (19'), Jansson (39')
Nov 29, 2020 8pm
Orlando City
1-3
New England
Urso (33')
Carlos (47'), Dike (53'), Nani (62'), Urso (75')
Pereyra (60')
Gil (17' pen.), Bou (25', 86')
Buksa (28')
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
Jun 21, 2020 12.30am