| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 55.22% | 23.58% | 21.2% |
| Both teams to score 51.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% | 48.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% | 70.76% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.52% | 17.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.04% | 47.96% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.65% | 37.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.86% | 74.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 5.69% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.64% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.43% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.2% |