Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.