| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 51.31% | 23.59% | 25.1% |
| Both teams to score 56.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% | 44.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% | 66.98% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% | 17.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.13% | 47.87% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% | 31.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% | 68.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.8% Total : 51.31% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-1 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.1% |