Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 2

Mar 5, 2022 at 7pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 4
NY Red Bulls

Jimenez (35')
Salcedo (61')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Morgan (17', 24', 40'), Long (42')
Nealis (31'), Klimala (67'), Nealis (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-3 Chicago Fire
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Inter Miami vs. NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	12	7	21
2	New York Red Bulls	12	6	20
3	CF Montreal	12	4	20

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	New York Red Bulls
36.25%	25.59%	38.16%

Both teams to score 55.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.62%

48.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.48%

70.51%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06%

25.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.05%

60.94%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12%

24.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51%

59.49%

Score Analysis

Toronto 36.25%

New York Red Bulls 38.16%

Draw 25.59%

Toronto	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.37% Total : 36.25%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.45% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.16%