Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
| 66.14% | 20.23% | 13.63% |
| Both teams to score 47.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% | 46.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% | 69.16% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% | 13.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.83% | 40.16% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.39% | 45.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.59% | 81.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-0 @ 12.34% 1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 6.51% 4-0 @ 4.18% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.73% Total : 66.13% | 1-1 @ 9.61% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.23% | 0-1 @ 4.77% 1-2 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.63% |