Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41

Oct 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Altidore (66'), Elliott (70' og.)
Mavinga (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bedoya (1'), Santos (77')
Andres Martinez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Philadelphia Union
44.25%	24.64%	31.12%

Both teams to score 57.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.64%

45.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.3%

67.7%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41%

20.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.87%

53.14%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85%

63.15%

Score Analysis

Toronto 44.25%

Philadelphia Union 31.12%

Draw 24.64%

Toronto	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.77% Total : 44.25%	1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.12%