Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Toronto
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Philadelphia
  • Chris Mavinga 57' yellowcard
  • Jozy Altidore 66' goal
  • Jack Elliott 70' goal
  • goal Alejandro Bedoya 1'
  • goal Sergio Santos 77'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 87'

Toronto vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Toronto 1 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Jozy Altidore

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia 1 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Kacper Przybylko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 44.25%
Draw 24.64%
Philadelphia Union 31.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.48%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.64%
Under 2.5 45.37%
Over 3.5 32.3%
Under 3.5 67.7%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 79.41%
Under 0.5 20.59%
Over 1.5 46.87%
Under 1.5 53.14%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 72.38%
Under 0.5 27.62%
Over 1.5 36.85%
Under 1.5 63.15%

Score analysis

Toronto 44.25%
Draw 24.64%
Philadelphia Union 31.12%
Toronto
2-1 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.64%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-1 @ 7.32%
0-2 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.12%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Philadelphia
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Toronto
  • Jakob Glesnes 12' goal
  • Jakob Glesnes 26' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 33' goal
  • Sergio Santos 36' goal
  • Kai Wagner 47' yellowcard
  • Olivier Mbaizo 90' yellowcard
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Philadelphia
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Toronto
  • Jamiro Monteiro 9' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 27' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 33' goal
  • Jamiro Monteiro 55' goal
  • Sergio Santos 63' goal
  • Andre Blake 64' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 68' goal
  • yellowcard Auro 10'
  • yellowcard Patrick Mullins 73'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
Toronto
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
Philadelphia
  • Ayomide Akinola 58' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 76' goal
  • goal Sergio Santos 5'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 36
Toronto
Aug 15, 2020 11.00pm
Philadelphia
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Philadelphia
Jul 12, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
Major League Soccer Gameweek 13
Toronto
May 11, 2019 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
Philadelphia
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 51' goal
  • Laurent Ciman 61' yellowcard
  • Jozy Altidore 82' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 95' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Mavinga 25' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 32'
  • goal Jamiro Monteiro 68'
  • yellowcard Auston Trusty 86'
  • yellowcard Kacper Przybylko 92'

Form Data

Toronto 1 - 1 Montreal
Inter Miami 3 - 0 Toronto
Toronto 0 - 2 Atlanta
Toronto 3 - 1 Chicago Fire
Toronto 3 - 2 Cincinnati
Colorado 0 - 0 Toronto
Philadelphia 1 - 0 Nashville
Minnesota Utd 3 - 2 Philadelphia
Montreal 2 - 2 Philadelphia
Cincinnati 1 - 2 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 3 - 0 Columbus Crew
NY Red Bulls 1 - 1 Philadelphia