Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 51.78% | 26.1% | 22.12% |
| Both teams to score 45.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.68% | 57.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.85% | 78.15% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% | 22.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% | 55.66% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.65% | 41.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.13% | 77.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.19% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.19% Total : 22.12% |